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Championship Saturday, 31 Oct 2026
Millwall FC
Millwall
Home
L W W D L
9th place in Championship
15:00
d ::
Stadion · 🌀️ 18°C
1
Millwall Win Probability 73%
Derby County FC
Derby County
Away
W W D L W
5th place in Championship
Our Prediction confidence
Recommended Tip
1 @ 1.29
73% probability Β· 5/5 confidence
Predicted Score
2 – 0
xG (Goals)
2.45 – 0.76
Win Probability
Millwall 73%
Draw 15%
Derby County 12%
πŸ—³οΈ Fan Prediction Poll

Who do you think will win?

Cast your prediction before kick-off

Vote cast:
Millwall
Draw
Derby County
Our AI tips 1 β€” 73% probability
Match Preview & AI Analysis Statistical Insights

Millwall meet Derby County in the Championship on 2026-10-31 15:00 UTC.

Host side Millwall enter this contest having won 40% of their previous 5 matches, averaging 1.4 points per game with 6 goals scored and 6 conceded.
Derby County arrive having secured 3 wins and 1 draw across their last 5 fixtures, conceding an average of 0.8 goals per game.

Looking at the Head to Head history over the last 5 meetings, Millwall hold the advantage with 3 victories compared to 1 for Derby County and 1 draws.

The statistics and expected goals (xG) point towards an open game, showing a 66% likelihood for more than 2.5 goals to be scored in this fixture.

πŸ’‘ Note: 1 @ 73% β€” model expects 2.67–0.99 (Millwall 73% Β· draw 15% Β· Derby County 12%; over 2.5 71%, BTTS 58%).
🎯 Prediction: Millwall to win 2-0 Model Confidence: 73%
AI Prediction Index Powered by BetPredictionTips
7.3
Prediction Index
1
73%
Home
X
15%
Draw
2
12%
Away
46% Recent form 66%
72% Attack 95%
28% Defence 52%
60% Head-to-head 20%
73% Win probability 12%
Predictions by Market
Match Result (1X2)
1
73% 1.29
Double Chance
1X
60% 1.57
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
66% 1.42
Both Teams To Score
No analysis for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No analysis for this market.
Goals & Trends
66%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.21
Avg Goals
πŸ“Š Trend: Predicted total goals: 2 (xG Home: 2.45, xG Away: 0.76). Over 2.5 Goals is rated at 66%.
Recent Form β€” Last 5
L W W D L
2-1-2
W-D-L
6:6
Goals
1.4
PPG
W W D L W
3-1-1
W-D-L
9:4
Goals
2
PPG
⚑ Form Insight: Derby County hold the form edge heading into this tie with 2 PPG over their previous 5 games.
Head to Head
1
Draws
31 May 2026 Millwall 1 – 0 Derby County
31 Dec 2025 Derby County 0 – 2 Millwall
31 Jul 2025 Millwall 3 – 0 Derby County
03 Mar 2025 Derby County 0 – 0 Millwall
01 Oct 2024 Millwall 1 – 0 Derby County
🀝 H2H Summary: Looking at the Head to Head history over the last 5 meetings, Millwall hold the advantage with 3 victories compared to 1 for Derby County and 1 draws.
League Standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
5 Derby County Derby County 24 11 8 5 +20 41
9 Millwall Millwall 24 8 7 9 +14 31

Millwall FC vs Derby County FC Prediction & Detailed Match Preview

In-depth statistical breakdown, expected goals analysis, and mathematical tips for Championship.

Millwall meet Derby County in the Championship on 2026-10-31 15:00 UTC. This matchup features two sides looking to make an impact in the standings, with key points at stake in this phase of the competition.

Team Form & Performance

Host side Millwall enter this contest having won 40% of their previous 5 matches, averaging 1.4 points per game with 6 goals scored and 6 conceded. Meanwhile, Derby County arrive having secured 3 wins and 1 draw across their last 5 fixtures, conceding an average of 0.8 goals per game.

Head-to-Head Record (H2H)

Looking at the Head to Head history over the last 5 meetings, Millwall hold the advantage with 3 victories compared to 1 for Derby County and 1 draws. Tactical setups in previous meetings demonstrate that neither manager takes unnecessary risks early in the match.

Goal Expectancy & Betting Trends

The statistics and expected goals (xG) point towards an open game, showing a 66% likelihood for more than 2.5 goals to be scored in this fixture. With an expected goal tally of 3.21 across 90 minutes (xG: 2.45 home, 0.76 away), value punters should note market trends surrounding Over 1.5 (78%) and Over 2.5 (66%).

πŸ† Final Model Verdict: Prediction: Millwall to win 2-0 with a recommended bet on 1 at current estimated odds of 1.29.
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