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Serie B Saturday, 14 Nov 2026
S
São Bernardo
Home
W D L W D
7th place
d ::
Estadio Primeiro de Maio · 🌤️ 18°C
1
São Bernardo Win
46% Probability
Athletic Club
Athletic
Away
W D L W D
4th place
Our Prediction ☆☆☆ confidence
Recommended Tip
1 @ 2.04
46% probability · 2/5 confidence
Predicted Score
1 – 1
xG (Goals)
1.8 – 1.12
🎯 Proj. 1 – 1
Win Probability
São Bernardo 46%
Draw 26%
Athletic 28%
🗳️ Fan Prediction Poll

Who do you think will win?

Cast your prediction before kick-off

Vote cast:
São Bernardo
Draw
Athletic
Our AI tips 1 — 46% probability
Match Preview & AI Analysis Statistical Insights

São Bernardo meet Athletic in the Serie B at Estadio Primeiro de Maio on 2026-11-14 16:30 UTC.

Host side São Bernardo enter this contest having won 40% of their previous 5 matches, averaging 1.6 points per game with 7 goals scored and 5 conceded.
Athletic arrive having secured 2 wins and 2 draws across their last 5 fixtures, conceding an average of 1 goals per game.

Looking at past encounters across 5 meetings, Athletic hold the upper hand having won 2 games against 1 for São Bernardo.

Goal expectancy metrics project a competitive duel with a balanced Both Teams To Score probability (50%).

💡 Note: 1 @ 46% — model expects 1.44–1.06 (São Bernardo 46% · draw 26% · Athletic 28%; over 2.5 46%, BTTS 50%) (limited data — modelled from recent results).
🎯 Prediction: São Bernardo favoured (1-1) Model Confidence: 46%
AI Prediction Index Powered by BetPredictionTips
4.6
Prediction Index
1
46%
Home
X
26%
Draw
2
28%
Away
53% Recent form 53%
84% Attack 84%
40% Defence 40%
20% Head-to-head 40%
46% Win probability 28%
Predictions by Market
Match Result (1X2)
1
46% 2.04
Double Chance
1X
72% 1.31
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
54% 1.74
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
50% 1.88
Over 1.5 Goals
No analysis for this market.
Goals & Trends
46%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.92
Avg Goals
📊 Trend: Predicted total goals: 2 (xG Home: 1.8, xG Away: 1.12). Over 2.5 Goals is rated at 46%.
Recent Form — Last 5
W D L W D
2-2-1
W-D-L
7:5
Goals
1.6
PPG
W D L W D
2-2-1
W-D-L
7:5
Goals
1.6
PPG
⚡ Form Insight: São Bernardo demonstrate stronger current momentum with 1.6 PPG compared to Athletic's 1.6 PPG.
Head to Head
2
Draws
14 Jun 2026 São Bernardo 0 – 0 Athletic
14 Jan 2026 Athletic 0 – 1 São Bernardo
14 Aug 2025 São Bernardo 2 – 0 Athletic
14 Mar 2025 Athletic 0 – 3 São Bernardo
14 Oct 2024 São Bernardo 0 – 0 Athletic
🤝 H2H Summary: Looking at past encounters across 5 meetings, Athletic hold the upper hand having won 2 games against 1 for São Bernardo.
League Standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
4 Athletic Athletic 24 8 7 9 +14 31
7 Sã São Bernardo 24 11 5 8 +22 38

São Bernardo vs Athletic Club Prediction & Detailed Match Preview

In-depth statistical breakdown, expected goals analysis, and mathematical tips for Serie B.

São Bernardo meet Athletic in the Serie B at Estadio Primeiro de Maio on 2026-11-14 16:30 UTC. This matchup features two sides looking to make an impact in the standings, with key points at stake in this phase of the competition.

Team Form & Performance

Host side São Bernardo enter this contest having won 40% of their previous 5 matches, averaging 1.6 points per game with 7 goals scored and 5 conceded. Meanwhile, Athletic arrive having secured 2 wins and 2 draws across their last 5 fixtures, conceding an average of 1 goals per game.

Head-to-Head Record (H2H)

Looking at past encounters across 5 meetings, Athletic hold the upper hand having won 2 games against 1 for São Bernardo. Tactical setups in previous meetings demonstrate that neither manager takes unnecessary risks early in the match.

Goal Expectancy & Betting Trends

Goal expectancy metrics project a competitive duel with a balanced Both Teams To Score probability (50%). With an expected goal tally of 2.92 across 90 minutes (xG: 1.8 home, 1.12 away), value punters should note market trends surrounding Over 1.5 (78%) and Over 2.5 (46%).

🏆 Final Model Verdict: Prediction: São Bernardo favoured (1-1) with a recommended bet on 1 at current estimated odds of 2.04.
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