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La Liga FT Friday, 23 Oct 2026
Deportivo Alavés
Alavés
Home
L W W L W
2nd place in La Liga
1-1
Full Time
Stadion · 🌤️ 18°C
1
Alavés Win Probability 77%
Málaga CF
Málaga
Away
L W D L W
2nd place in La Liga
Our Prediction ☆ confidence
Recommended Tip
1 @ 1.22
77% probability · 4/5 confidence
Predicted Score
2 – 0
xG (Goals)
2.55 – 0.63
Win Probability
Alavés 77%
Draw 17%
Málaga 6%
🗳️ Fan Prediction Poll

Who do you think will win?

Cast your prediction before kick-off

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Alavés
Draw
Málaga
Our AI tips 1 — 77% probability
Match Preview & AI Analysis Statistical Insights

Alavés meet Málaga in the La Liga on 2026-10-23 19:00 UTC.

Host side Alavés enter this contest having won 60% of their previous 5 matches, averaging 1.8 points per game with 8 goals scored and 5 conceded.
Málaga arrive having secured 2 wins and 1 draw across their last 5 fixtures, conceding an average of 1.2 goals per game.

Looking at the Head to Head history over the last 5 meetings, Alavés hold the advantage with 3 victories compared to 1 for Málaga and 1 draws.

Goal expectancy metrics project a competitive duel with a balanced scoring dynamic.

💡 Note: 1 @ 77% — model expects 2.06–0.38 (Alav├⌐s 77% · draw 17% · M├ílaga 6%; over 2.5 44%, BTTS 28%).
🎯 Prediction: Alav├⌐s to win 2-0 Model Confidence: 77%
AI Prediction Index Powered by BetPredictionTips
7.7
Prediction Index
1
77%
Home
X
17%
Draw
2
6%
Away
60% Recent form 46%
95% Attack 84%
40% Defence 28%
60% Head-to-head 20%
77% Win probability 6%
Predictions by Market
Match Result (1X2)
1
77% 1.22
Double Chance
1X
94% 1.01
Over / Under 2.5
No analysis for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
72% 1.31
Over 1.5 Goals
No analysis for this market.
Goals & Trends
50%
Over 2.5
28%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.18
Avg Goals
📊 Trend: Predicted total goals: 2 (xG Home: 2.55, xG Away: 0.63). Over 2.5 Goals is rated at 50%.
Recent Form — Last 5
L W W L W
3-0-2
W-D-L
8:5
Goals
1.8
PPG
L W D L W
2-1-2
W-D-L
7:6
Goals
1.4
PPG
⚡ Form Insight: Alav├⌐s demonstrate stronger current momentum with 1.8 PPG compared to M├ílaga's 1.4 PPG.
Head to Head
1
Draws
23 May 2026 Alav├⌐s 3 – 0 M├ílaga
23 Dec 2025 M├ílaga 0 – 0 Alav├⌐s
23 Jul 2025 Alav├⌐s 1 – 0 M├ílaga
23 Feb 2025 M├ílaga 0 – 2 Alav├⌐s
23 Sep 2024 Alav├⌐s 3 – 0 M├ílaga
🤝 H2H Summary: Looking at the Head to Head history over the last 5 meetings, Alav├⌐s hold the advantage with 3 victories compared to 1 for M├ílaga and 1 draws.
League Standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
2 Alavés Alavés 24 9 5 10 -2 32
2 Málaga Málaga 24 8 5 11 +12 29

Deportivo Alavés vs Málaga CF Prediction & Detailed Match Preview

In-depth statistical breakdown, expected goals analysis, and mathematical tips for La Liga.

Alavés meet Málaga in the La Liga on 2026-10-23 19:00 UTC. This matchup features two sides looking to make an impact in the standings, with key points at stake in this phase of the competition.

Team Form & Performance

Host side Alavés enter this contest having won 60% of their previous 5 matches, averaging 1.8 points per game with 8 goals scored and 5 conceded. Meanwhile, Málaga arrive having secured 2 wins and 1 draw across their last 5 fixtures, conceding an average of 1.2 goals per game.

Head-to-Head Record (H2H)

Looking at the Head to Head history over the last 5 meetings, Alavés hold the advantage with 3 victories compared to 1 for Málaga and 1 draws. Tactical setups in previous meetings demonstrate that neither manager takes unnecessary risks early in the match.

Goal Expectancy & Betting Trends

Goal expectancy metrics project a competitive duel with a balanced scoring dynamic. With an expected goal tally of 3.18 across 90 minutes (xG: 2.55 home, 0.63 away), value punters should note market trends surrounding Over 1.5 (78%) and Over 2.5 (50%).

🏆 Final Model Verdict: Prediction: Alav├⌐s to win 2-0 with a recommended bet on 1 at current estimated odds of 1.22.
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