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Ligue 1 FT Sunday, 25 Oct 2026
AJ Auxerre
Auxerre
Home
W W D L W
8th place in Ligue 1
1-1
Full Time
Stadion · 🌀️ 18°C
1
Auxerre Win Probability 52%
Le Mans FC
Le Mans
Away
W D L W D
4th place in Ligue 1
Our Prediction β˜†β˜†β˜† confidence
Recommended Tip
1 @ 1.81
52% probability Β· 2/5 confidence
Predicted Score
2 – 1
xG (Goals)
1.95 – 1.16
Win Probability
Auxerre 52%
Draw 18%
Le Mans 30%
πŸ—³οΈ Fan Prediction Poll

Who do you think will win?

Cast your prediction before kick-off

Vote cast:
Auxerre
Draw
Le Mans
Our AI tips 1 β€” 52% probability
Match Preview & AI Analysis Statistical Insights

Auxerre meet Le Mans in the Ligue 1 on 2026-10-25 16:15 UTC.

Host side Auxerre enter this contest having won 60% of their previous 5 matches, averaging 2 points per game with 9 goals scored and 4 conceded.
Le Mans arrive having secured 2 wins and 2 draws across their last 5 fixtures, conceding an average of 1 goals per game.

Looking at the Head to Head history over the last 5 meetings, Auxerre hold the advantage with 3 victories compared to 1 for Le Mans and 1 draws.

The statistics and expected goals (xG) point towards an open game, showing a 88% likelihood for more than 2.5 goals to be scored in this fixture.

πŸ’‘ Note: 1 @ 52% β€” model expects 2.61–1.99 (Auxerre 52% Β· draw 18% Β· Le Mans 30%; over 2.5 84%, BTTS 80%).
🎯 Prediction: Auxerre to win 2-1 Model Confidence: 52%
AI Prediction Index Powered by BetPredictionTips
5.2
Prediction Index
1
52%
Home
X
18%
Draw
2
30%
Away
66% Recent form 53%
95% Attack 84%
52% Defence 40%
60% Head-to-head 20%
52% Win probability 30%
Predictions by Market
Match Result (1X2)
1
52% 1.81
Double Chance
12
81% 1.16
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
88% 1.07
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
80% 1.18
Over 1.5 Goals
No analysis for this market.
Goals & Trends
88%
Over 2.5
80%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.11
Avg Goals
πŸ“Š Trend: Predicted total goals: 3 (xG Home: 1.95, xG Away: 1.16). Over 2.5 Goals is rated at 88%.
Recent Form β€” Last 5
W W D L W
3-1-1
W-D-L
9:4
Goals
2
PPG
W D L W D
2-2-1
W-D-L
7:5
Goals
1.6
PPG
⚑ Form Insight: Auxerre demonstrate stronger current momentum with 2 PPG compared to Le Mans's 1.6 PPG.
Head to Head
1
Draws
25 May 2026 Auxerre 3 – 0 Le Mans
25 Dec 2025 Le Mans 0 – 0 Auxerre
25 Jul 2025 Auxerre 1 – 0 Le Mans
25 Feb 2025 Le Mans 0 – 2 Auxerre
25 Sep 2024 Auxerre 3 – 0 Le Mans
🀝 H2H Summary: Looking at the Head to Head history over the last 5 meetings, Auxerre hold the advantage with 3 victories compared to 1 for Le Mans and 1 draws.
League Standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
4 Le Mans Le Mans 24 11 7 6 +6 40
8 Auxerre Auxerre 24 11 6 7 +18 39

AJ Auxerre vs Le Mans FC Prediction & Detailed Match Preview

In-depth statistical breakdown, expected goals analysis, and mathematical tips for Ligue 1.

Auxerre meet Le Mans in the Ligue 1 on 2026-10-25 16:15 UTC. This matchup features two sides looking to make an impact in the standings, with key points at stake in this phase of the competition.

Team Form & Performance

Host side Auxerre enter this contest having won 60% of their previous 5 matches, averaging 2 points per game with 9 goals scored and 4 conceded. Meanwhile, Le Mans arrive having secured 2 wins and 2 draws across their last 5 fixtures, conceding an average of 1 goals per game.

Head-to-Head Record (H2H)

Looking at the Head to Head history over the last 5 meetings, Auxerre hold the advantage with 3 victories compared to 1 for Le Mans and 1 draws. Tactical setups in previous meetings demonstrate that neither manager takes unnecessary risks early in the match.

Goal Expectancy & Betting Trends

The statistics and expected goals (xG) point towards an open game, showing a 88% likelihood for more than 2.5 goals to be scored in this fixture. With an expected goal tally of 3.11 across 90 minutes (xG: 1.95 home, 1.16 away), value punters should note market trends surrounding Over 1.5 (78%) and Over 2.5 (88%).

πŸ† Final Model Verdict: Prediction: Auxerre to win 2-1 with a recommended bet on 1 at current estimated odds of 1.81.
πŸ‘‘

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