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UEFA Champions League FT Thursday, 05 Nov 2026
AZ Alkmaar
AZ Alkmaar
Home
D L W D L
6th place
-
Full Time
Stadion · 🌀️ 18°C
1
AZ Alkmaar Win
55% Probability
F
Fenerbahce
Away
L W W L W
9th place
Our Prediction β˜†β˜† confidence
Recommended Tip
1 @ 1.71
55% probability Β· 3/5 confidence
Predicted Score
2 – 1
xG (Goals)
2.02 – 1.05
πŸ“ˆ Home Edge 55% 🎯 Proj. 2 – 1
Win Probability
AZ Alkmaar 55%
Draw 20%
Fenerbahce 25%
πŸ—³οΈ Fan Prediction Poll

Who do you think will win?

Cast your prediction before kick-off

Vote cast:
AZ Alkmaar
Draw
Fenerbahce
Our AI tips 1 β€” 55% probability
Match Preview & AI Analysis Statistical Insights

AZ Alkmaar meet Fenerbahce in the UEFA Champions League on 2026-11-05 20:00 UTC.

Host side AZ Alkmaar enter this contest having won 20% of their previous 5 matches, averaging 1 points per game with 5 goals scored and 6 conceded.
Fenerbahce arrive having secured 3 wins and 0 draws across their last 5 fixtures, conceding an average of 1 goals per game.

Looking at past encounters across 5 meetings, Fenerbahce hold the upper hand having won 2 games against 1 for AZ Alkmaar.

The statistics and expected goals (xG) point towards an open game, showing a 70% likelihood for more than 2.5 goals to be scored in this fixture.

πŸ’‘ Note: 1 @ 55% β€” model expects 2.2–1.44 (AZ Alkmaar 55% Β· draw 20% Β· Fenerbahce 25%; over 2.5 70%, BTTS 68%) (limited data β€” modelled from recent results).
🎯 Prediction: AZ Alkmaar to win 2-1 Model Confidence: 55%
AI Prediction Index Powered by BetPredictionTips
5.5
Prediction Index
1
55%
Home
X
20%
Draw
2
25%
Away
33% Recent form 60%
60% Attack 95%
28% Defence 40%
20% Head-to-head 40%
55% Win probability 25%
Predictions by Market
Match Result (1X2)
1
55% 1.71
Double Chance
1X
75% 1.25
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
70% 1.34
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
68% 1.38
Over 1.5 Goals
No analysis for this market.
Goals & Trends
70%
Over 2.5
68%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.07
Avg Goals
πŸ“Š Trend: Predicted total goals: 3 (xG Home: 2.02, xG Away: 1.05). Over 2.5 Goals is rated at 70%.
Recent Form β€” Last 5
D L W D L
1-2-2
W-D-L
5:6
Goals
1
PPG
L W W L W
3-0-2
W-D-L
8:5
Goals
1.8
PPG
⚑ Form Insight: Fenerbahce hold the form edge heading into this tie with 1.8 PPG over their previous 5 games.
Head to Head
2
Draws
05 Jun 2026 AZ Alkmaar 0 – 0 Fenerbahce
05 Jan 2026 Fenerbahce 0 – 1 AZ Alkmaar
05 Aug 2025 AZ Alkmaar 2 – 0 Fenerbahce
05 Mar 2025 Fenerbahce 0 – 3 AZ Alkmaar
05 Oct 2024 AZ Alkmaar 0 – 0 Fenerbahce
🀝 H2H Summary: Looking at past encounters across 5 meetings, Fenerbahce hold the upper hand having won 2 games against 1 for AZ Alkmaar.
League Standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
6 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 24 15 4 5 +6 49
9 Fe Fenerbahce 24 16 7 1 +16 55

AZ Alkmaar vs Fenerbahce Prediction & Detailed Match Preview

In-depth statistical breakdown, expected goals analysis, and mathematical tips for UEFA Champions League.

AZ Alkmaar meet Fenerbahce in the UEFA Champions League on 2026-11-05 20:00 UTC. This matchup features two sides looking to make an impact in the standings, with key points at stake in this phase of the competition.

Team Form & Performance

Host side AZ Alkmaar enter this contest having won 20% of their previous 5 matches, averaging 1 points per game with 5 goals scored and 6 conceded. Meanwhile, Fenerbahce arrive having secured 3 wins and 0 draws across their last 5 fixtures, conceding an average of 1 goals per game.

Head-to-Head Record (H2H)

Looking at past encounters across 5 meetings, Fenerbahce hold the upper hand having won 2 games against 1 for AZ Alkmaar. Tactical setups in previous meetings demonstrate that neither manager takes unnecessary risks early in the match.

Goal Expectancy & Betting Trends

The statistics and expected goals (xG) point towards an open game, showing a 70% likelihood for more than 2.5 goals to be scored in this fixture. With an expected goal tally of 3.07 across 90 minutes (xG: 2.02 home, 1.05 away), value punters should note market trends surrounding Over 1.5 (78%) and Over 2.5 (70%).

πŸ† Final Model Verdict: Prediction: AZ Alkmaar to win 2-1 with a recommended bet on 1 at current estimated odds of 1.71.
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