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UEFA Champions League FT Thursday, 05 Nov 2026
Benfica
Benfica
Home
W L W W D
10th place
-
Full Time
Stadion · 🌀️ 18°C
1
Benfica Win
83% Probability
Lech Poznan
Lech Poznan
Away
W L W W D
7th place
Our Prediction confidence
Recommended Tip
1 @ 1.13
83% probability Β· 5/5 confidence
Predicted Score
2 – 0
xG (Goals)
2.69 – 0.63
πŸ”₯ Benfica Top Pick 83% 🎯 Proj. 2 – 0
Win Probability
Benfica 83%
Draw 11%
Lech Poznan 6%
πŸ—³οΈ Fan Prediction Poll

Who do you think will win?

Cast your prediction before kick-off

Vote cast:
Benfica
Draw
Lech Poznan
Our AI tips 1 β€” 83% probability
Match Preview & AI Analysis Statistical Insights

Benfica meet Lech Poznan in the UEFA Champions League on 2026-11-05 20:00 UTC.

Host side Benfica enter this contest having won 60% of their previous 5 matches, averaging 2 points per game with 9 goals scored and 4 conceded.
Lech Poznan arrive having secured 3 wins and 1 draw across their last 5 fixtures, conceding an average of 0.8 goals per game.

Head-to-head records show a finely balanced contest between these sides, with both teams claiming 2 wins each and 1 stalemates across their recent clashes.

The statistics and expected goals (xG) point towards an open game, showing a 72% likelihood for more than 2.5 goals to be scored in this fixture.

πŸ’‘ Note: 1 @ 83% β€” model expects 3.03–0.71 (Benfica 83% Β· draw 11% Β· Lech Poznan 6%; over 2.5 72%, BTTS 48%) (limited data β€” modelled from recent results).
🎯 Prediction: Benfica to win 2-0 Model Confidence: 83%
AI Prediction Index Powered by BetPredictionTips
8.3
Prediction Index
1
83%
Home
X
11%
Draw
2
6%
Away
66% Recent form 66%
95% Attack 95%
52% Defence 52%
40% Head-to-head 40%
83% Win probability 6%
Predictions by Market
Match Result (1X2)
1
83% 1.13
Double Chance
1X
94% 1.01
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
72% 1.31
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
52% 1.81
Over 1.5 Goals
No analysis for this market.
Goals & Trends
72%
Over 2.5
48%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.32
Avg Goals
πŸ“Š Trend: Predicted total goals: 2 (xG Home: 2.69, xG Away: 0.63). Over 2.5 Goals is rated at 72%.
Recent Form β€” Last 5
W L W W D
3-1-1
W-D-L
9:4
Goals
2
PPG
W L W W D
3-1-1
W-D-L
9:4
Goals
2
PPG
⚑ Form Insight: Benfica demonstrate stronger current momentum with 2 PPG compared to Lech Poznan's 2 PPG.
Head to Head
1
Draws
05 Jun 2026 Benfica 2 – 0 Lech Poznan
05 Jan 2026 Lech Poznan 0 – 3 Benfica
05 Aug 2025 Benfica 0 – 0 Lech Poznan
05 Mar 2025 Lech Poznan 0 – 1 Benfica
05 Oct 2024 Benfica 2 – 0 Lech Poznan
🀝 H2H Summary: Head-to-head records show a finely balanced contest between these sides, with both teams claiming 2 wins each and 1 stalemates across their recent clashes.
League Standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
7 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 24 8 5 11 +2 29
10 Benfica Benfica 24 11 8 5 +22 41

Benfica vs Lech Poznan Prediction & Detailed Match Preview

In-depth statistical breakdown, expected goals analysis, and mathematical tips for UEFA Champions League.

Benfica meet Lech Poznan in the UEFA Champions League on 2026-11-05 20:00 UTC. This matchup features two sides looking to make an impact in the standings, with key points at stake in this phase of the competition.

Team Form & Performance

Host side Benfica enter this contest having won 60% of their previous 5 matches, averaging 2 points per game with 9 goals scored and 4 conceded. Meanwhile, Lech Poznan arrive having secured 3 wins and 1 draw across their last 5 fixtures, conceding an average of 0.8 goals per game.

Head-to-Head Record (H2H)

Head-to-head records show a finely balanced contest between these sides, with both teams claiming 2 wins each and 1 stalemates across their recent clashes. Tactical setups in previous meetings demonstrate that neither manager takes unnecessary risks early in the match.

Goal Expectancy & Betting Trends

The statistics and expected goals (xG) point towards an open game, showing a 72% likelihood for more than 2.5 goals to be scored in this fixture. With an expected goal tally of 3.32 across 90 minutes (xG: 2.69 home, 0.63 away), value punters should note market trends surrounding Over 1.5 (78%) and Over 2.5 (72%).

πŸ† Final Model Verdict: Prediction: Benfica to win 2-0 with a recommended bet on 1 at current estimated odds of 1.13.
πŸ‘‘

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