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Serie A FT Wednesday, 07 Oct 2026
Botafogo
Botafogo
Home
D L W D L
6th place in Serie A
-
Full Time
Estadio Olimpico Nilton Santos · 🌀️ 18°C
1
Botafogo Win Probability 72%
Vasco DA Gama
Vasco DA Gama
Away
W D L W D
4th place in Serie A
Our Prediction confidence
Recommended Tip
1 @ 1.31
72% probability Β· 5/5 confidence
Predicted Score
2 – 0
xG (Goals)
2.43 – 0.76
Win Probability
Botafogo 72%
Draw 16%
Vasco DA Gama 12%
πŸ—³οΈ Fan Prediction Poll

Who do you think will win?

Cast your prediction before kick-off

Vote cast:
Botafogo
Draw
Vasco DA Gama
Our AI tips 1 β€” 72% probability
Match Preview & AI Analysis Statistical Insights

Botafogo meet Vasco DA Gama in the Serie A at Estadio Olimpico Nilton Santos on 2026-10-07 23:30 UTC.

Host side Botafogo enter this contest having won 20% of their previous 5 matches, averaging 1 points per game with 5 goals scored and 6 conceded.
Vasco DA Gama arrive having secured 2 wins and 2 draws across their last 5 fixtures, conceding an average of 1 goals per game.

Looking at the Head to Head history over the last 5 meetings, Botafogo hold the advantage with 3 victories compared to 1 for Vasco DA Gama and 1 draws.

The statistics and expected goals (xG) point towards an open game, showing a 71% likelihood for more than 2.5 goals to be scored in this fixture.

πŸ’‘ Note: 1 @ 72% β€” model expects 2.66–1 (Botafogo 72% Β· draw 16% Β· Vasco DA Gama 12%; over 2.5 71%, BTTS 59%).
🎯 Prediction: Botafogo to win 2-0 Model Confidence: 72%
AI Prediction Index Powered by BetPredictionTips
7.2
Prediction Index
1
72%
Home
X
16%
Draw
2
12%
Away
33% Recent form 53%
60% Attack 84%
28% Defence 40%
60% Head-to-head 20%
72% Win probability 12%
Predictions by Market
Match Result (1X2)
1
72% 1.31
Double Chance
1X
88% 1.07
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
71% 1.32
Both Teams To Score
No analysis for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No analysis for this market.
Goals & Trends
71%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.19
Avg Goals
πŸ“Š Trend: Predicted total goals: 2 (xG Home: 2.43, xG Away: 0.76). Over 2.5 Goals is rated at 71%.
Recent Form β€” Last 5
D L W D L
1-2-2
W-D-L
5:6
Goals
1
PPG
W D L W D
2-2-1
W-D-L
7:5
Goals
1.6
PPG
⚑ Form Insight: Vasco DA Gama hold the form edge heading into this tie with 1.6 PPG over their previous 5 games.
Head to Head
1
Draws
07 May 2026 Botafogo 3 – 0 Vasco DA Gama
07 Dec 2025 Vasco DA Gama 0 – 0 Botafogo
07 Jul 2025 Botafogo 1 – 0 Vasco DA Gama
07 Feb 2025 Vasco DA Gama 0 – 2 Botafogo
07 Sep 2024 Botafogo 3 – 0 Vasco DA Gama
🀝 H2H Summary: Looking at the Head to Head history over the last 5 meetings, Botafogo hold the advantage with 3 victories compared to 1 for Vasco DA Gama and 1 draws.
League Standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
4 Vasco DA Gama Vasco DA Gama 24 13 7 4 +14 46
6 Botafogo Botafogo 24 14 4 6 +20 46

Botafogo vs Vasco DA Gama Prediction & Detailed Match Preview

In-depth statistical breakdown, expected goals analysis, and mathematical tips for Serie A.

Botafogo meet Vasco DA Gama in the Serie A at Estadio Olimpico Nilton Santos on 2026-10-07 23:30 UTC. This matchup features two sides looking to make an impact in the standings, with key points at stake in this phase of the competition.

Team Form & Performance

Host side Botafogo enter this contest having won 20% of their previous 5 matches, averaging 1 points per game with 5 goals scored and 6 conceded. Meanwhile, Vasco DA Gama arrive having secured 2 wins and 2 draws across their last 5 fixtures, conceding an average of 1 goals per game.

Head-to-Head Record (H2H)

Looking at the Head to Head history over the last 5 meetings, Botafogo hold the advantage with 3 victories compared to 1 for Vasco DA Gama and 1 draws. Tactical setups in previous meetings demonstrate that neither manager takes unnecessary risks early in the match.

Goal Expectancy & Betting Trends

The statistics and expected goals (xG) point towards an open game, showing a 71% likelihood for more than 2.5 goals to be scored in this fixture. With an expected goal tally of 3.19 across 90 minutes (xG: 2.43 home, 0.76 away), value punters should note market trends surrounding Over 1.5 (78%) and Over 2.5 (71%).

πŸ† Final Model Verdict: Prediction: Botafogo to win 2-0 with a recommended bet on 1 at current estimated odds of 1.31.
πŸ‘‘

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