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Burnley
Derby County
Burnley meet Derby County in the Championship on 2026-09-19 14:00 UTC.
Looking at past encounters across 5 meetings, Derby County hold the upper hand having won 2 games against 1 for Burnley.
The statistics and expected goals (xG) point towards an open game, showing a 63% likelihood for more than 2.5 goals to be scored in this fixture.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 |
Burnley
|
24 | 8 | 4 | 12 | -2 | 28 |
| 7 |
Derby County
|
24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | -2 | 32 |
Burnley FC vs Derby County FC Prediction & Detailed Match Preview
In-depth statistical breakdown, expected goals analysis, and mathematical tips for Championship.
Burnley meet Derby County in the Championship on 2026-09-19 14:00 UTC. This matchup features two sides looking to make an impact in the standings, with key points at stake in this phase of the competition.
Team Form & Performance
Host side Burnley enter this contest having won 20% of their previous 5 matches, averaging 1 points per game with 5 goals scored and 6 conceded. Meanwhile, Derby County arrive having secured 3 wins and 1 draw across their last 5 fixtures, conceding an average of 0.8 goals per game.
Head-to-Head Record (H2H)
Looking at past encounters across 5 meetings, Derby County hold the upper hand having won 2 games against 1 for Burnley. Tactical setups in previous meetings demonstrate that neither manager takes unnecessary risks early in the match.
Goal Expectancy & Betting Trends
The statistics and expected goals (xG) point towards an open game, showing a 63% likelihood for more than 2.5 goals to be scored in this fixture. With an expected goal tally of 3.02 across 90 minutes (xG: 1.95 home, 1.07 away), value punters should note market trends surrounding Over 1.5 (78%) and Over 2.5 (63%).