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CONCACAF Nations League Monday, 16 Nov 2026
Canada
Canada
Home
L W W L W
2nd place
d ::
BMO Field · 🌀️ 18°C
1
Canada Win
76% Probability
Guatemala
Guatemala
Away
D L W D L
3rd place
Our Prediction β˜† confidence
Recommended Tip
1 @ 1.36
76% probability Β· 4/5 confidence
Predicted Score
2 – 0
xG (Goals)
2.52 – 0.72
πŸ”₯ Canada Top Pick 76% 🎯 Proj. 2 – 0
Win Probability
Canada 76%
Draw 14%
Guatemala 10%
πŸ—³οΈ Fan Prediction Poll

Who do you think will win?

Cast your prediction before kick-off

Vote cast:
Canada
Draw
Guatemala
Our AI tips 1 β€” 76% probability
Match Preview & AI Analysis Statistical Insights

Canada meet Guatemala in the CONCACAF Nations League at BMO Field on 2026-11-16 22:00 UTC.

Host side Canada enter this contest having won 60% of their previous 5 matches, averaging 1.8 points per game with 8 goals scored and 5 conceded.
Guatemala arrive having secured 1 win and 2 draws across their last 5 fixtures, conceding an average of 1.2 goals per game.

Looking at past encounters across 5 meetings, Guatemala hold the upper hand having won 2 games against 1 for Canada.

The statistics and expected goals (xG) point towards an open game, showing a 71% likelihood for more than 2.5 goals to be scored in this fixture.

πŸ’‘ Note: 1 @ 76% β€” model expects 2.77–0.92 (Canada 76% Β· draw 14% Β· Guatemala 10%; over 2.5 71%, BTTS 56%) (limited data β€” modelled from recent results).
🎯 Prediction: Canada to win 2-0 Model Confidence: 76%
AI Prediction Index Powered by BetPredictionTips
7.6
Prediction Index
1
76%
Home
X
14%
Draw
2
10%
Away
60% Recent form 33%
95% Attack 60%
40% Defence 28%
20% Head-to-head 40%
76% Win probability 10%
Predictions by Market
Match Result (1X2)
1
76% 1.36
Double Chance
1X
90% 1.36
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
71% 1.36
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
56% 1.68
Over 1.5 Goals
No analysis for this market.
Goals & Trends
71%
Over 2.5
56%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.24
Avg Goals
πŸ“Š Trend: Predicted total goals: 2 (xG Home: 2.52, xG Away: 0.72). Over 2.5 Goals is rated at 71%.
Recent Form β€” Last 5
L W W L W
3-0-2
W-D-L
8:5
Goals
1.8
PPG
D L W D L
1-2-2
W-D-L
5:6
Goals
1
PPG
⚑ Form Insight: Canada demonstrate stronger current momentum with 1.8 PPG compared to Guatemala's 1 PPG.
Head to Head
1
2
Draws
16 Jun 2026 Canada 0 – 0 Guatemala
16 Jan 2026 Guatemala 0 – 1 Canada
16 Aug 2025 Canada 2 – 0 Guatemala
16 Mar 2025 Guatemala 0 – 3 Canada
16 Oct 2024 Canada 0 – 0 Guatemala
🀝 H2H Summary: Looking at past encounters across 5 meetings, Guatemala hold the upper hand having won 2 games against 1 for Canada.
League Standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
2 Canada Canada 24 16 5 3 +10 53
3 Guatemala Guatemala 24 16 6 2 +26 54

Canada vs Guatemala Prediction & Detailed Match Preview

In-depth statistical breakdown, expected goals analysis, and mathematical tips for CONCACAF Nations League.

Canada meet Guatemala in the CONCACAF Nations League at BMO Field on 2026-11-16 22:00 UTC. This matchup features two sides looking to make an impact in the standings, with key points at stake in this phase of the competition.

Team Form & Performance

Host side Canada enter this contest having won 60% of their previous 5 matches, averaging 1.8 points per game with 8 goals scored and 5 conceded. Meanwhile, Guatemala arrive having secured 1 win and 2 draws across their last 5 fixtures, conceding an average of 1.2 goals per game.

Head-to-Head Record (H2H)

Looking at past encounters across 5 meetings, Guatemala hold the upper hand having won 2 games against 1 for Canada. Tactical setups in previous meetings demonstrate that neither manager takes unnecessary risks early in the match.

Goal Expectancy & Betting Trends

The statistics and expected goals (xG) point towards an open game, showing a 71% likelihood for more than 2.5 goals to be scored in this fixture. With an expected goal tally of 3.24 across 90 minutes (xG: 2.52 home, 0.72 away), value punters should note market trends surrounding Over 1.5 (78%) and Over 2.5 (71%).

πŸ† Final Model Verdict: Prediction: Canada to win 2-0 with a recommended bet on 1 at current estimated odds of 1.36.
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