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UEFA Nations League Monday, 16 Nov 2026
Germany
Germany
Home
W W D L W
8th place
d ::
Olympiastadion · 🌀️ 18°C
1
Germany Win
73% Probability
Netherlands
Netherlands
Away
W D L W D
4th place
Our Prediction confidence
Recommended Tip
1 @ 1.36
73% probability Β· 5/5 confidence
Predicted Score
2 – 0
xG (Goals)
2.45 – 0.79
πŸ”₯ Germany Top Pick 73% 🎯 Proj. 2 – 0
Win Probability
Germany 73%
Draw 11%
Netherlands 13%
πŸ—³οΈ Fan Prediction Poll

Who do you think will win?

Cast your prediction before kick-off

Vote cast:
Germany
Draw
Netherlands
Our AI tips 1 β€” 73% probability
Match Preview & AI Analysis Statistical Insights

Germany meet Netherlands in the UEFA Nations League at Olympiastadion on 2026-11-16 16:45 UTC.

Host side Germany enter this contest having won 60% of their previous 5 matches, averaging 2 points per game with 9 goals scored and 4 conceded.
Netherlands arrive having secured 2 wins and 2 draws across their last 5 fixtures, conceding an average of 1 goals per game.

Looking at the Head to Head history over the last 5 meetings, Germany hold the advantage with 3 victories compared to 1 for Netherlands and 1 draws.

The statistics and expected goals (xG) point towards an open game, showing a 92% likelihood for more than 2.5 goals to be scored in this fixture.

πŸ’‘ Note: 1 @ 73% β€” model expects 4.5–2.13 (Germany 73% Β· draw 11% Β· Netherlands 13%; over 2.5 92%, BTTS 84%).
🎯 Prediction: Germany to win 2-0 Model Confidence: 73%
AI Prediction Index Powered by BetPredictionTips
7.3
Prediction Index
1
73%
Home
X
11%
Draw
2
13%
Away
66% Recent form 53%
95% Attack 84%
52% Defence 40%
60% Head-to-head 20%
73% Win probability 13%
Predictions by Market
Match Result (1X2)
1
73% 1.36
Double Chance
1X
84% 1.36
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
92% 1.36
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
84% 1.36
Over 1.5 Goals
No analysis for this market.
Goals & Trends
92%
Over 2.5
84%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.24
Avg Goals
πŸ“Š Trend: Predicted total goals: 2 (xG Home: 2.45, xG Away: 0.79). Over 2.5 Goals is rated at 92%.
Recent Form β€” Last 5
W W D L W
3-1-1
W-D-L
9:4
Goals
2
PPG
W D L W D
2-2-1
W-D-L
7:5
Goals
1.6
PPG
⚑ Form Insight: Germany demonstrate stronger current momentum with 2 PPG compared to Netherlands's 1.6 PPG.
Head to Head
1
Draws
16 Jun 2026 Germany 1 – 0 Netherlands
16 Jan 2026 Netherlands 0 – 2 Germany
16 Aug 2025 Germany 3 – 0 Netherlands
16 Mar 2025 Netherlands 0 – 0 Germany
16 Oct 2024 Germany 1 – 0 Netherlands
🀝 H2H Summary: Looking at the Head to Head history over the last 5 meetings, Germany hold the advantage with 3 victories compared to 1 for Netherlands and 1 draws.
League Standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
4 Netherlands Netherlands 24 14 7 3 +14 49
8 Germany Germany 24 8 6 10 +14 30

Germany vs Netherlands Prediction & Detailed Match Preview

In-depth statistical breakdown, expected goals analysis, and mathematical tips for UEFA Nations League.

Germany meet Netherlands in the UEFA Nations League at Olympiastadion on 2026-11-16 16:45 UTC. This matchup features two sides looking to make an impact in the standings, with key points at stake in this phase of the competition.

Team Form & Performance

Host side Germany enter this contest having won 60% of their previous 5 matches, averaging 2 points per game with 9 goals scored and 4 conceded. Meanwhile, Netherlands arrive having secured 2 wins and 2 draws across their last 5 fixtures, conceding an average of 1 goals per game.

Head-to-Head Record (H2H)

Looking at the Head to Head history over the last 5 meetings, Germany hold the advantage with 3 victories compared to 1 for Netherlands and 1 draws. Tactical setups in previous meetings demonstrate that neither manager takes unnecessary risks early in the match.

Goal Expectancy & Betting Trends

The statistics and expected goals (xG) point towards an open game, showing a 92% likelihood for more than 2.5 goals to be scored in this fixture. With an expected goal tally of 3.24 across 90 minutes (xG: 2.45 home, 0.79 away), value punters should note market trends surrounding Over 1.5 (78%) and Over 2.5 (92%).

πŸ† Final Model Verdict: Prediction: Germany to win 2-0 with a recommended bet on 1 at current estimated odds of 1.36.
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