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USL Championship FT Friday, 09 Oct 2026
Lexington
Lexington
Home
W W D L W
8th place in USL Championship
-
Full Time
Toyota Stadium · 🌀️ 18°C
2
FC Tulsa Win Probability 60%
F
FC Tulsa
Away
W D L W D
4th place in USL Championship
Our Prediction β˜† confidence
Recommended Tip
2 @ 1.57
60% probability Β· 4/5 confidence
Predicted Score
1 – 1
xG (Goals)
1.13 – 1.82
πŸ“ˆ Away Edge 60% 🎯 Proj. 1 – 1
Win Probability
Lexington 18%
Draw 23%
FC Tulsa 60%
πŸ—³οΈ Fan Prediction Poll

Who do you think will win?

Cast your prediction before kick-off

Vote cast:
Lexington
Draw
FC Tulsa
Our AI tips 2 β€” 60% probability
Match Preview & AI Analysis Statistical Insights

Lexington meet FC Tulsa in the USL Championship at Toyota Stadium on 2026-10-09 23:30 UTC.

Host side Lexington enter this contest having won 60% of their previous 5 matches, averaging 2 points per game with 9 goals scored and 4 conceded.
FC Tulsa arrive having secured 2 wins and 2 draws across their last 5 fixtures, conceding an average of 1 goals per game.

Looking at the Head to Head history over the last 5 meetings, Lexington hold the advantage with 3 victories compared to 1 for FC Tulsa and 1 draws.

Goal expectancy metrics project a competitive duel with a balanced Both Teams To Score probability (50%).

πŸ’‘ Note: 2 @ 60% β€” model expects 0.87–1.81 (Lexington 18% Β· draw 23% Β· FC Tulsa 60%; over 2.5 50%, BTTS 48%).
🎯 Prediction: FC Tulsa to win 1-1 Model Confidence: 60%
AI Prediction Index Powered by BetPredictionTips
6.0
Prediction Index
1
18%
Home
X
23%
Draw
2
60%
Away
66% Recent form 53%
95% Attack 84%
52% Defence 40%
60% Head-to-head 20%
18% Win probability 60%
Predictions by Market
Match Result (1X2)
2
60% 1.57
Double Chance
X2
83% 1.13
Over / Under 2.5
No analysis for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No analysis for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No analysis for this market.
Goals & Trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.95
Avg Goals
πŸ“Š Trend: Predicted total goals: 2 (xG Home: 1.13, xG Away: 1.82). Over 2.5 Goals is rated at 50%.
Recent Form β€” Last 5
W W D L W
3-1-1
W-D-L
9:4
Goals
2
PPG
W D L W D
2-2-1
W-D-L
7:5
Goals
1.6
PPG
⚑ Form Insight: Lexington demonstrate stronger current momentum with 2 PPG compared to FC Tulsa's 1.6 PPG.
Head to Head
1
Draws
09 May 2026 Lexington 1 – 0 FC Tulsa
09 Dec 2025 FC Tulsa 0 – 2 Lexington
09 Jul 2025 Lexington 3 – 0 FC Tulsa
09 Feb 2025 FC Tulsa 0 – 0 Lexington
09 Sep 2024 Lexington 1 – 0 FC Tulsa
🀝 H2H Summary: Looking at the Head to Head history over the last 5 meetings, Lexington hold the advantage with 3 victories compared to 1 for FC Tulsa and 1 draws.
League Standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
4 FC FC Tulsa 24 14 7 3 +20 49
8 Lexington Lexington 24 9 6 9 0 33

Lexington vs FC Tulsa Prediction & Detailed Match Preview

In-depth statistical breakdown, expected goals analysis, and mathematical tips for USL Championship.

Lexington meet FC Tulsa in the USL Championship at Toyota Stadium on 2026-10-09 23:30 UTC. This matchup features two sides looking to make an impact in the standings, with key points at stake in this phase of the competition.

Team Form & Performance

Host side Lexington enter this contest having won 60% of their previous 5 matches, averaging 2 points per game with 9 goals scored and 4 conceded. Meanwhile, FC Tulsa arrive having secured 2 wins and 2 draws across their last 5 fixtures, conceding an average of 1 goals per game.

Head-to-Head Record (H2H)

Looking at the Head to Head history over the last 5 meetings, Lexington hold the advantage with 3 victories compared to 1 for FC Tulsa and 1 draws. Tactical setups in previous meetings demonstrate that neither manager takes unnecessary risks early in the match.

Goal Expectancy & Betting Trends

Goal expectancy metrics project a competitive duel with a balanced Both Teams To Score probability (50%). With an expected goal tally of 2.95 across 90 minutes (xG: 1.13 home, 1.82 away), value punters should note market trends surrounding Over 1.5 (78%) and Over 2.5 (50%).

πŸ† Final Model Verdict: Prediction: FC Tulsa to win 1-1 with a recommended bet on 2 at current estimated odds of 1.57.
πŸ‘‘

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