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Serie A FT Friday, 18 Sep 2026
AC Monza
Monza
Home
W D L W W
4th place in Serie A
-
Full Time
Stadion · 🌀️ 18°C
2
Sassuolo Win Probability 61%
US Sassuolo Calcio
Sassuolo
Away
W W D L W
5th place in Serie A
Our Prediction β˜† confidence
Recommended Tip
2 @ 1.54
61% probability Β· 4/5 confidence
Predicted Score
1 – 1
xG (Goals)
1.25 – 1.84
Win Probability
Monza 23%
Draw 15%
Sassuolo 61%
πŸ—³οΈ Fan Prediction Poll

Who do you think will win?

Cast your prediction before kick-off

Vote cast:
Monza
Draw
Sassuolo
Our AI tips 2 β€” 61% probability
Match Preview & AI Analysis Statistical Insights

Monza meet Sassuolo in the Serie A on 2026-09-18 18:45 UTC.

Host side Monza enter this contest having won 60% of their previous 5 matches, averaging 2 points per game with 8 goals scored and 4 conceded.
Sassuolo arrive having secured 3 wins and 1 draw across their last 5 fixtures, conceding an average of 0.8 goals per game.

Looking at past encounters across 5 meetings, Sassuolo hold the upper hand having won 2 games against 1 for Monza.

The statistics and expected goals (xG) point towards an open game, showing a 92% likelihood for more than 2.5 goals to be scored in this fixture.

πŸ’‘ Note: 2 @ 61% β€” model expects 2.26–3.49 (Monza 23% Β· draw 15% Β· Sassuolo 61%; over 2.5 92%, BTTS 86%).
🎯 Prediction: Sassuolo to win 1-1 Model Confidence: 61%
AI Prediction Index Powered by BetPredictionTips
6.1
Prediction Index
1
23%
Home
X
15%
Draw
2
61%
Away
66% Recent form 66%
95% Attack 95%
52% Defence 52%
20% Head-to-head 40%
23% Win probability 61%
Predictions by Market
Match Result (1X2)
2
61% 1.54
Double Chance
Draw/Away
76% 1.24
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
92% 1.02
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
86% 1.09
Over 1.5 Goals
No analysis for this market.
Goals & Trends
92%
Over 2.5
86%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.09
Avg Goals
πŸ“Š Trend: Predicted total goals: 2 (xG Home: 1.25, xG Away: 1.84). Over 2.5 Goals is rated at 92%.
Recent Form β€” Last 5
W D L W W
3-1-1
W-D-L
8:4
Goals
2
PPG
W W D L W
3-1-1
W-D-L
9:4
Goals
2
PPG
⚑ Form Insight: Monza demonstrate stronger current momentum with 2 PPG compared to Sassuolo's 2 PPG.
Head to Head
1
2
Draws
18 Apr 2026 Monza 0 – 0 Sassuolo
18 Nov 2025 Sassuolo 0 – 1 Monza
18 Jun 2025 Monza 2 – 0 Sassuolo
18 Jan 2025 Sassuolo 0 – 3 Monza
18 Aug 2024 Monza 0 – 0 Sassuolo
🀝 H2H Summary: Looking at past encounters across 5 meetings, Sassuolo hold the upper hand having won 2 games against 1 for Monza.
League Standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
4 Monza Monza 24 12 7 5 +10 43
5 Sassuolo Sassuolo 24 13 8 3 +10 47

AC Monza vs US Sassuolo Calcio Prediction & Detailed Match Preview

In-depth statistical breakdown, expected goals analysis, and mathematical tips for Serie A.

Monza meet Sassuolo in the Serie A on 2026-09-18 18:45 UTC. This matchup features two sides looking to make an impact in the standings, with key points at stake in this phase of the competition.

Team Form & Performance

Host side Monza enter this contest having won 60% of their previous 5 matches, averaging 2 points per game with 8 goals scored and 4 conceded. Meanwhile, Sassuolo arrive having secured 3 wins and 1 draw across their last 5 fixtures, conceding an average of 0.8 goals per game.

Head-to-Head Record (H2H)

Looking at past encounters across 5 meetings, Sassuolo hold the upper hand having won 2 games against 1 for Monza. Tactical setups in previous meetings demonstrate that neither manager takes unnecessary risks early in the match.

Goal Expectancy & Betting Trends

The statistics and expected goals (xG) point towards an open game, showing a 92% likelihood for more than 2.5 goals to be scored in this fixture. With an expected goal tally of 3.09 across 90 minutes (xG: 1.25 home, 1.84 away), value punters should note market trends surrounding Over 1.5 (78%) and Over 2.5 (92%).

πŸ† Final Model Verdict: Prediction: Sassuolo to win 1-1 with a recommended bet on 2 at current estimated odds of 1.54.
πŸ‘‘

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