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USL League One FT Saturday, 03 Oct 2026
N
Naples
Home
L W W D L
9th place in USL League One
-
Full Time
Paradise Coast Sports Complex · 🌀️ 18°C
1
Naples Win Probability 84%
NY Cosmos
NY Cosmos
Away
W W L W W
8th place in USL League One
Our Prediction confidence
Recommended Tip
1 @ 1.12
84% probability Β· 5/5 confidence
Predicted Score
2 – 0
xG (Goals)
2.72 – 0.63
πŸ”₯ Naples Banker 84% 🎯 Proj. 2 – 0
Win Probability
Naples 84%
Draw 9%
NY Cosmos 6%
πŸ—³οΈ Fan Prediction Poll

Who do you think will win?

Cast your prediction before kick-off

Vote cast:
Naples
Draw
NY Cosmos
Our AI tips 1 β€” 84% probability
Match Preview & AI Analysis Statistical Insights

Naples meet NY Cosmos in the USL League One at Paradise Coast Sports Complex on 2026-10-03 23:00 UTC.

Host side Naples enter this contest having won 40% of their previous 5 matches, averaging 1.4 points per game with 6 goals scored and 6 conceded.
NY Cosmos arrive having secured 4 wins and 0 draws across their last 5 fixtures, conceding an average of 0.8 goals per game.

Looking at past encounters across 5 meetings, NY Cosmos hold the upper hand having won 2 games against 1 for Naples.

The statistics and expected goals (xG) point towards an open game, showing a 81% likelihood for more than 2.5 goals to be scored in this fixture.

πŸ’‘ Note: 1 @ 84% β€” model expects 3.55–0.91 (Naples 84% Β· draw 9% Β· NY Cosmos 6%; over 2.5 81%, BTTS 57%).
🎯 Prediction: Naples to win 2-0 Model Confidence: 84%
AI Prediction Index Powered by BetPredictionTips
8.4
Prediction Index
1
84%
Home
X
9%
Draw
2
6%
Away
46% Recent form 80%
72% Attack 95%
28% Defence 52%
20% Head-to-head 40%
84% Win probability 6%
Predictions by Market
Match Result (1X2)
1
84% 1.12
Double Chance
1X
93% 1.01
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
81% 1.16
Both Teams To Score
No analysis for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No analysis for this market.
Goals & Trends
81%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.35
Avg Goals
πŸ“Š Trend: Predicted total goals: 2 (xG Home: 2.72, xG Away: 0.63). Over 2.5 Goals is rated at 81%.
Recent Form β€” Last 5
L W W D L
2-1-2
W-D-L
6:6
Goals
1.4
PPG
W W L W W
4-0-1
W-D-L
10:4
Goals
2.4
PPG
⚑ Form Insight: NY Cosmos hold the form edge heading into this tie with 2.4 PPG over their previous 5 games.
Head to Head
1
2
Draws
03 May 2026 Naples 0 – 0 NY Cosmos
03 Dec 2025 NY Cosmos 0 – 1 Naples
03 Jul 2025 Naples 2 – 0 NY Cosmos
03 Feb 2025 NY Cosmos 0 – 3 Naples
03 Sep 2024 Naples 0 – 0 NY Cosmos
🀝 H2H Summary: Looking at past encounters across 5 meetings, NY Cosmos hold the upper hand having won 2 games against 1 for Naples.
League Standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
8 NY Cosmos NY Cosmos 24 13 6 5 +10 45
9 Na Naples 24 15 7 2 +2 52

Naples vs NY Cosmos Prediction & Detailed Match Preview

In-depth statistical breakdown, expected goals analysis, and mathematical tips for USL League One.

Naples meet NY Cosmos in the USL League One at Paradise Coast Sports Complex on 2026-10-03 23:00 UTC. This matchup features two sides looking to make an impact in the standings, with key points at stake in this phase of the competition.

Team Form & Performance

Host side Naples enter this contest having won 40% of their previous 5 matches, averaging 1.4 points per game with 6 goals scored and 6 conceded. Meanwhile, NY Cosmos arrive having secured 4 wins and 0 draws across their last 5 fixtures, conceding an average of 0.8 goals per game.

Head-to-Head Record (H2H)

Looking at past encounters across 5 meetings, NY Cosmos hold the upper hand having won 2 games against 1 for Naples. Tactical setups in previous meetings demonstrate that neither manager takes unnecessary risks early in the match.

Goal Expectancy & Betting Trends

The statistics and expected goals (xG) point towards an open game, showing a 81% likelihood for more than 2.5 goals to be scored in this fixture. With an expected goal tally of 3.35 across 90 minutes (xG: 2.72 home, 0.63 away), value punters should note market trends surrounding Over 1.5 (78%) and Over 2.5 (81%).

πŸ† Final Model Verdict: Prediction: Naples to win 2-0 with a recommended bet on 1 at current estimated odds of 1.12.
πŸ‘‘

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