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Serie A FT Friday, 09 Oct 2026
Palmeiras
Palmeiras
Home
L W W L W
2nd place in Serie A
-
Full Time
Nubank Parque · 🌀️ 18°C
1
Palmeiras Win Probability 68%
Bahia
Bahia
Away
W L W W D
7th place in Serie A
Our Prediction β˜† confidence
Recommended Tip
1 @ 1.38
68% probability Β· 4/5 confidence
Predicted Score
2 – 0
xG (Goals)
2.33 – 0.79
Win Probability
Palmeiras 68%
Draw 19%
Bahia 13%
πŸ—³οΈ Fan Prediction Poll

Who do you think will win?

Cast your prediction before kick-off

Vote cast:
Palmeiras
Draw
Bahia
Our AI tips 1 β€” 68% probability
Match Preview & AI Analysis Statistical Insights

Palmeiras meet Bahia in the Serie A at Nubank Parque on 2026-10-09 00:30 UTC.

Host side Palmeiras enter this contest having won 60% of their previous 5 matches, averaging 1.8 points per game with 8 goals scored and 5 conceded.
Bahia arrive having secured 3 wins and 1 draw across their last 5 fixtures, conceding an average of 0.8 goals per game.

Looking at past encounters across 5 meetings, Bahia hold the upper hand having won 2 games against 1 for Palmeiras.

Goal expectancy metrics project a competitive duel with a balanced Both Teams To Score probability (50%).

πŸ’‘ Note: 1 @ 68% β€” model expects 2.19–0.86 (Palmeiras 68% Β· draw 19% Β· Bahia 13%; over 2.5 59%, BTTS 51%).
🎯 Prediction: Palmeiras to win 2-0 Model Confidence: 68%
AI Prediction Index Powered by BetPredictionTips
6.8
Prediction Index
1
68%
Home
X
19%
Draw
2
13%
Away
60% Recent form 66%
95% Attack 95%
40% Defence 52%
20% Head-to-head 40%
68% Win probability 13%
Predictions by Market
Match Result (1X2)
1
68% 1.38
Double Chance
1X
87% 1.08
Over / Under 2.5
No analysis for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No analysis for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No analysis for this market.
Goals & Trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.12
Avg Goals
πŸ“Š Trend: Predicted total goals: 2 (xG Home: 2.33, xG Away: 0.79). Over 2.5 Goals is rated at 50%.
Recent Form β€” Last 5
L W W L W
3-0-2
W-D-L
8:5
Goals
1.8
PPG
W L W W D
3-1-1
W-D-L
9:4
Goals
2
PPG
⚑ Form Insight: Bahia hold the form edge heading into this tie with 2 PPG over their previous 5 games.
Head to Head
2
Draws
2
09 May 2026 Palmeiras 0 – 0 Bahia
09 Dec 2025 Bahia 0 – 1 Palmeiras
09 Jul 2025 Palmeiras 2 – 0 Bahia
09 Feb 2025 Bahia 0 – 3 Palmeiras
09 Sep 2024 Palmeiras 0 – 0 Bahia
🀝 H2H Summary: Looking at past encounters across 5 meetings, Bahia hold the upper hand having won 2 games against 1 for Palmeiras.
League Standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
2 Palmeiras Palmeiras 24 10 5 9 +20 35
7 Bahia Bahia 24 15 5 4 -2 50

Palmeiras vs Bahia Prediction & Detailed Match Preview

In-depth statistical breakdown, expected goals analysis, and mathematical tips for Serie A.

Palmeiras meet Bahia in the Serie A at Nubank Parque on 2026-10-09 00:30 UTC. This matchup features two sides looking to make an impact in the standings, with key points at stake in this phase of the competition.

Team Form & Performance

Host side Palmeiras enter this contest having won 60% of their previous 5 matches, averaging 1.8 points per game with 8 goals scored and 5 conceded. Meanwhile, Bahia arrive having secured 3 wins and 1 draw across their last 5 fixtures, conceding an average of 0.8 goals per game.

Head-to-Head Record (H2H)

Looking at past encounters across 5 meetings, Bahia hold the upper hand having won 2 games against 1 for Palmeiras. Tactical setups in previous meetings demonstrate that neither manager takes unnecessary risks early in the match.

Goal Expectancy & Betting Trends

Goal expectancy metrics project a competitive duel with a balanced Both Teams To Score probability (50%). With an expected goal tally of 3.12 across 90 minutes (xG: 2.33 home, 0.79 away), value punters should note market trends surrounding Over 1.5 (78%) and Over 2.5 (50%).

πŸ† Final Model Verdict: Prediction: Palmeiras to win 2-0 with a recommended bet on 1 at current estimated odds of 1.38.
πŸ‘‘

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