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Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification Tuesday, 17 Nov 2026
S
Sierra Leone
Home
W W D L W
8th place
d ::
Stadion · 🌀️ 18°C
1
Sierra Leone Win
39% Probability
Congo DR
Congo DR
Away
L W W L W
9th place
Our Prediction β˜†β˜†β˜†β˜† confidence
Recommended Tip
1 @ 2.41
39% probability Β· 1/5 confidence
Predicted Score
1 – 1
xG (Goals)
1.64 – 1.27
🎯 Proj. 1 – 1
Win Probability
Sierra Leone 39%
Draw 27%
Congo DR 35%
πŸ—³οΈ Fan Prediction Poll

Who do you think will win?

Cast your prediction before kick-off

Vote cast:
Sierra Leone
Draw
Congo DR
Our AI tips 1 β€” 39% probability
Match Preview & AI Analysis Statistical Insights

Sierra Leone meet Congo DR in the Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification on 2026-11-17 13:00 UTC.

Host side Sierra Leone enter this contest having won 60% of their previous 5 matches, averaging 2 points per game with 9 goals scored and 4 conceded.
Congo DR arrive having secured 3 wins and 0 draws across their last 5 fixtures, conceding an average of 1 goals per game.

Looking at past encounters across 5 meetings, Congo DR hold the upper hand having won 2 games against 1 for Sierra Leone.

Goal expectancy metrics project a competitive duel with a balanced Both Teams To Score probability (52%).

πŸ’‘ Note: 1 @ 39% β€” model expects 1.32–1.23 (Sierra Leone 39% Β· draw 27% Β· Congo DR 35%; over 2.5 47%, BTTS 52%) (limited data β€” modelled from recent results).
🎯 Prediction: Sierra Leone favoured (1-1) Model Confidence: 39%
AI Prediction Index Powered by BetPredictionTips
3.9
Prediction Index
1
39%
Home
X
27%
Draw
2
35%
Away
66% Recent form 60%
95% Attack 95%
52% Defence 40%
20% Head-to-head 40%
39% Win probability 35%
Predictions by Market
Match Result (1X2)
1
39% 2.41
Double Chance
1X
66% 1.42
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
53% 1.77
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
52% 1.81
Over 1.5 Goals
No analysis for this market.
Goals & Trends
47%
Over 2.5
52%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.91
Avg Goals
πŸ“Š Trend: Predicted total goals: 2 (xG Home: 1.64, xG Away: 1.27). Over 2.5 Goals is rated at 47%.
Recent Form β€” Last 5
W W D L W
3-1-1
W-D-L
9:4
Goals
2
PPG
L W W L W
3-0-2
W-D-L
8:5
Goals
1.8
PPG
⚑ Form Insight: Sierra Leone demonstrate stronger current momentum with 2 PPG compared to Congo DR's 1.8 PPG.
Head to Head
2
Draws
17 Jun 2026 Sierra Leone 0 – 0 Congo DR
17 Jan 2026 Congo DR 0 – 1 Sierra Leone
17 Aug 2025 Sierra Leone 2 – 0 Congo DR
17 Mar 2025 Congo DR 0 – 3 Sierra Leone
17 Oct 2024 Sierra Leone 0 – 0 Congo DR
🀝 H2H Summary: Looking at past encounters across 5 meetings, Congo DR hold the upper hand having won 2 games against 1 for Sierra Leone.
League Standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
8 Si Sierra Leone 24 10 6 8 +14 36
9 Congo DR Congo DR 24 16 7 1 +4 55

Sierra Leone vs Congo DR Prediction & Detailed Match Preview

In-depth statistical breakdown, expected goals analysis, and mathematical tips for Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification.

Sierra Leone meet Congo DR in the Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification on 2026-11-17 13:00 UTC. This matchup features two sides looking to make an impact in the standings, with key points at stake in this phase of the competition.

Team Form & Performance

Host side Sierra Leone enter this contest having won 60% of their previous 5 matches, averaging 2 points per game with 9 goals scored and 4 conceded. Meanwhile, Congo DR arrive having secured 3 wins and 0 draws across their last 5 fixtures, conceding an average of 1 goals per game.

Head-to-Head Record (H2H)

Looking at past encounters across 5 meetings, Congo DR hold the upper hand having won 2 games against 1 for Sierra Leone. Tactical setups in previous meetings demonstrate that neither manager takes unnecessary risks early in the match.

Goal Expectancy & Betting Trends

Goal expectancy metrics project a competitive duel with a balanced Both Teams To Score probability (52%). With an expected goal tally of 2.91 across 90 minutes (xG: 1.64 home, 1.27 away), value punters should note market trends surrounding Over 1.5 (78%) and Over 2.5 (47%).

πŸ† Final Model Verdict: Prediction: Sierra Leone favoured (1-1) with a recommended bet on 1 at current estimated odds of 2.41.
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