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Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification Monday, 16 Nov 2026
S
Somalia
Home
W W D L W
8th place
d ::
Accra Sports Stadium · 🌀️ 18°C
2
Ghana Win
38% Probability
Ghana
Ghana
Away
W D L W D
4th place
Our Prediction β˜†β˜†β˜†β˜† confidence
Recommended Tip
2 @ 2.47
38% probability Β· 1/5 confidence
Predicted Score
1 – 1
xG (Goals)
1.54 – 1.34
🎯 Proj. 1 – 1
Win Probability
Somalia 35%
Draw 27%
Ghana 38%
πŸ—³οΈ Fan Prediction Poll

Who do you think will win?

Cast your prediction before kick-off

Vote cast:
Somalia
Draw
Ghana
Our AI tips 2 β€” 38% probability
Match Preview & AI Analysis Statistical Insights

Somalia meet Ghana in the Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification at Accra Sports Stadium on 2026-11-16 12:00 UTC.

Host side Somalia enter this contest having won 60% of their previous 5 matches, averaging 2 points per game with 9 goals scored and 4 conceded.
Ghana arrive having secured 2 wins and 2 draws across their last 5 fixtures, conceding an average of 1 goals per game.

Looking at the Head to Head history over the last 5 meetings, Somalia hold the advantage with 3 victories compared to 1 for Ghana and 1 draws.

Goal expectancy metrics project a competitive duel with a balanced Both Teams To Score probability (52%).

πŸ’‘ Note: 2 @ 38% β€” model expects 1.23–1.31 (Somalia 35% Β· draw 27% Β· Ghana 38%; over 2.5 47%, BTTS 52%) (limited data β€” modelled from recent results).
🎯 Prediction: Ghana favoured (1-1) Model Confidence: 38%
AI Prediction Index Powered by BetPredictionTips
3.8
Prediction Index
1
35%
Home
X
27%
Draw
2
38%
Away
66% Recent form 53%
95% Attack 84%
52% Defence 40%
60% Head-to-head 20%
35% Win probability 38%
Predictions by Market
Match Result (1X2)
2
38% 2.47
Double Chance
X2
65% 1.45
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
53% 1.77
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
52% 1.81
Over 1.5 Goals
No analysis for this market.
Goals & Trends
47%
Over 2.5
52%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.88
Avg Goals
πŸ“Š Trend: Predicted total goals: 2 (xG Home: 1.54, xG Away: 1.34). Over 2.5 Goals is rated at 47%.
Recent Form β€” Last 5
W W D L W
3-1-1
W-D-L
9:4
Goals
2
PPG
W D L W D
2-2-1
W-D-L
7:5
Goals
1.6
PPG
⚑ Form Insight: Somalia demonstrate stronger current momentum with 2 PPG compared to Ghana's 1.6 PPG.
Head to Head
1
Draws
1
16 Jun 2026 Somalia 3 – 0 Ghana
16 Jan 2026 Ghana 0 – 0 Somalia
16 Aug 2025 Somalia 1 – 0 Ghana
16 Mar 2025 Ghana 0 – 2 Somalia
16 Oct 2024 Somalia 3 – 0 Ghana
🀝 H2H Summary: Looking at the Head to Head history over the last 5 meetings, Somalia hold the advantage with 3 victories compared to 1 for Ghana and 1 draws.
League Standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
4 Ghana Ghana 24 14 7 3 +6 49
8 So Somalia 24 11 6 7 +22 39

Somalia vs Ghana Prediction & Detailed Match Preview

In-depth statistical breakdown, expected goals analysis, and mathematical tips for Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification.

Somalia meet Ghana in the Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification at Accra Sports Stadium on 2026-11-16 12:00 UTC. This matchup features two sides looking to make an impact in the standings, with key points at stake in this phase of the competition.

Team Form & Performance

Host side Somalia enter this contest having won 60% of their previous 5 matches, averaging 2 points per game with 9 goals scored and 4 conceded. Meanwhile, Ghana arrive having secured 2 wins and 2 draws across their last 5 fixtures, conceding an average of 1 goals per game.

Head-to-Head Record (H2H)

Looking at the Head to Head history over the last 5 meetings, Somalia hold the advantage with 3 victories compared to 1 for Ghana and 1 draws. Tactical setups in previous meetings demonstrate that neither manager takes unnecessary risks early in the match.

Goal Expectancy & Betting Trends

Goal expectancy metrics project a competitive duel with a balanced Both Teams To Score probability (52%). With an expected goal tally of 2.88 across 90 minutes (xG: 1.54 home, 1.34 away), value punters should note market trends surrounding Over 1.5 (78%) and Over 2.5 (47%).

πŸ† Final Model Verdict: Prediction: Ghana favoured (1-1) with a recommended bet on 2 at current estimated odds of 2.47.
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