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Championship Saturday, 21 Nov 2026
Southampton FC
Southampton
Home
D L W D L
6th place
d ::
Stadion · 🌀️ 18°C
1
Southampton Win
88% Probability
Derby County FC
Derby County
Away
W W D L W
5th place
Our Prediction confidence
Recommended Tip
1 @ 1.36
88% probability Β· 5/5 confidence
Predicted Score
2 – 0
xG (Goals)
2.81 – 0.57
πŸ”₯ Southampton Top Pick 88% 🎯 Proj. 2 – 0
Win Probability
Southampton 88%
Draw 8%
Derby County 3%
πŸ—³οΈ Fan Prediction Poll

Who do you think will win?

Cast your prediction before kick-off

Vote cast:
Southampton
Draw
Derby County
Our AI tips 1 β€” 88% probability
Match Preview & AI Analysis Statistical Insights

Southampton meet Derby County in the Championship on 2026-11-21 12:30 UTC.

Host side Southampton enter this contest having won 20% of their previous 5 matches, averaging 1 points per game with 5 goals scored and 6 conceded.
Derby County arrive having secured 3 wins and 1 draw across their last 5 fixtures, conceding an average of 0.8 goals per game.

Looking at past encounters across 5 meetings, Derby County hold the upper hand having won 2 games against 1 for Southampton.

The statistics and expected goals (xG) point towards an open game, showing a 75% likelihood for more than 2.5 goals to be scored in this fixture.

πŸ’‘ Note: 1 @ 88% β€” model expects 3.4–0.61 (Southampton 88% Β· draw 8% Β· Derby County 3%; over 2.5 75%, BTTS 44%).
🎯 Prediction: Southampton to win 2-0 Model Confidence: 88%
AI Prediction Index Powered by BetPredictionTips
8.8
Prediction Index
1
88%
Home
X
8%
Draw
2
3%
Away
33% Recent form 66%
60% Attack 95%
28% Defence 52%
20% Head-to-head 40%
88% Win probability 5%
Predictions by Market
Match Result (1X2)
1
88% 1.36
Double Chance
1X
96% 1.36
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
75% 1.36
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
56% 1.68
Over 1.5 Goals
No analysis for this market.
Goals & Trends
75%
Over 2.5
44%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.38
Avg Goals
πŸ“Š Trend: Predicted total goals: 2 (xG Home: 2.81, xG Away: 0.57). Over 2.5 Goals is rated at 75%.
Recent Form β€” Last 5
D L W D L
1-2-2
W-D-L
5:6
Goals
1
PPG
W W D L W
3-1-1
W-D-L
9:4
Goals
2
PPG
⚑ Form Insight: Derby County hold the form edge heading into this tie with 2 PPG over their previous 5 games.
Head to Head
21 Jun 2026 Southampton 0 – 0 Derby County
21 Jan 2026 Derby County 0 – 1 Southampton
21 Aug 2025 Southampton 2 – 0 Derby County
21 Mar 2025 Derby County 0 – 3 Southampton
21 Oct 2024 Southampton 0 – 0 Derby County
🀝 H2H Summary: Looking at past encounters across 5 meetings, Derby County hold the upper hand having won 2 games against 1 for Southampton.
League Standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
5 Derby County Derby County 24 11 8 5 +20 41
6 Southampton Southampton 24 15 4 5 +8 49

Southampton FC vs Derby County FC Prediction & Detailed Match Preview

In-depth statistical breakdown, expected goals analysis, and mathematical tips for Championship.

Southampton meet Derby County in the Championship on 2026-11-21 12:30 UTC. This matchup features two sides looking to make an impact in the standings, with key points at stake in this phase of the competition.

Team Form & Performance

Host side Southampton enter this contest having won 20% of their previous 5 matches, averaging 1 points per game with 5 goals scored and 6 conceded. Meanwhile, Derby County arrive having secured 3 wins and 1 draw across their last 5 fixtures, conceding an average of 0.8 goals per game.

Head-to-Head Record (H2H)

Looking at past encounters across 5 meetings, Derby County hold the upper hand having won 2 games against 1 for Southampton. Tactical setups in previous meetings demonstrate that neither manager takes unnecessary risks early in the match.

Goal Expectancy & Betting Trends

The statistics and expected goals (xG) point towards an open game, showing a 75% likelihood for more than 2.5 goals to be scored in this fixture. With an expected goal tally of 3.38 across 90 minutes (xG: 2.81 home, 0.57 away), value punters should note market trends surrounding Over 1.5 (78%) and Over 2.5 (75%).

πŸ† Final Model Verdict: Prediction: Southampton to win 2-0 with a recommended bet on 1 at current estimated odds of 1.36.
πŸ‘‘

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