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Ligue 1 FT Sunday, 25 Oct 2026
Toulouse FC
Toulouse
Home
W D L W D
7th place in Ligue 1
0-0
Full Time
Stadion · 🌀️ 18°C
1
Toulouse Win Probability 86%
ES Troyes AC
Troyes
Away
L W W D L
6th place in Ligue 1
Our Prediction confidence
Recommended Tip
1 @ 1.09
86% probability Β· 5/5 confidence
Predicted Score
2 – 0
xG (Goals)
2.76 – 0.59
Win Probability
Toulouse 86%
Draw 9%
Troyes 4%
πŸ—³οΈ Fan Prediction Poll

Who do you think will win?

Cast your prediction before kick-off

Vote cast:
Toulouse
Draw
Troyes
Our AI tips 1 β€” 86% probability
Match Preview & AI Analysis Statistical Insights

Toulouse meet Troyes in the Ligue 1 on 2026-10-25 16:15 UTC.

Host side Toulouse enter this contest having won 40% of their previous 5 matches, averaging 1.6 points per game with 7 goals scored and 5 conceded.
Troyes arrive having secured 2 wins and 1 draw across their last 5 fixtures, conceding an average of 1.2 goals per game.

Head-to-head records show a finely balanced contest between these sides, with both teams claiming 2 wins each and 1 stalemates across their recent clashes.

The statistics and expected goals (xG) point towards an open game, showing a 76% likelihood for more than 2.5 goals to be scored in this fixture.

πŸ’‘ Note: 1 @ 86% β€” model expects 3.32–0.69 (Toulouse 86% Β· draw 9% Β· Troyes 4%; over 2.5 76%, BTTS 48%).
🎯 Prediction: Toulouse to win 2-0 Model Confidence: 86%
AI Prediction Index Powered by BetPredictionTips
8.6
Prediction Index
1
86%
Home
X
9%
Draw
2
4%
Away
53% Recent form 46%
84% Attack 72%
40% Defence 28%
40% Head-to-head 40%
86% Win probability 5%
Predictions by Market
Match Result (1X2)
1
86% 1.09
Double Chance
1X
95% 1.01
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
76% 1.24
Both Teams To Score
No analysis for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No analysis for this market.
Goals & Trends
76%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.35
Avg Goals
πŸ“Š Trend: Predicted total goals: 2 (xG Home: 2.76, xG Away: 0.59). Over 2.5 Goals is rated at 76%.
Recent Form β€” Last 5
W D L W D
2-2-1
W-D-L
7:5
Goals
1.6
PPG
L W W D L
2-1-2
W-D-L
6:6
Goals
1.4
PPG
⚑ Form Insight: Toulouse demonstrate stronger current momentum with 1.6 PPG compared to Troyes's 1.4 PPG.
Head to Head
1
Draws
2
25 May 2026 Toulouse 2 – 0 Troyes
25 Dec 2025 Troyes 0 – 3 Toulouse
25 Jul 2025 Toulouse 0 – 0 Troyes
25 Feb 2025 Troyes 0 – 1 Toulouse
25 Sep 2024 Toulouse 2 – 0 Troyes
🀝 H2H Summary: Head-to-head records show a finely balanced contest between these sides, with both teams claiming 2 wins each and 1 stalemates across their recent clashes.
League Standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
6 Troyes Troyes 24 12 4 8 +28 40
7 Toulouse Toulouse 24 10 5 9 +18 35

Toulouse FC vs ES Troyes AC Prediction & Detailed Match Preview

In-depth statistical breakdown, expected goals analysis, and mathematical tips for Ligue 1.

Toulouse meet Troyes in the Ligue 1 on 2026-10-25 16:15 UTC. This matchup features two sides looking to make an impact in the standings, with key points at stake in this phase of the competition.

Team Form & Performance

Host side Toulouse enter this contest having won 40% of their previous 5 matches, averaging 1.6 points per game with 7 goals scored and 5 conceded. Meanwhile, Troyes arrive having secured 2 wins and 1 draw across their last 5 fixtures, conceding an average of 1.2 goals per game.

Head-to-Head Record (H2H)

Head-to-head records show a finely balanced contest between these sides, with both teams claiming 2 wins each and 1 stalemates across their recent clashes. Tactical setups in previous meetings demonstrate that neither manager takes unnecessary risks early in the match.

Goal Expectancy & Betting Trends

The statistics and expected goals (xG) point towards an open game, showing a 76% likelihood for more than 2.5 goals to be scored in this fixture. With an expected goal tally of 3.35 across 90 minutes (xG: 2.76 home, 0.59 away), value punters should note market trends surrounding Over 1.5 (78%) and Over 2.5 (76%).

πŸ† Final Model Verdict: Prediction: Toulouse to win 2-0 with a recommended bet on 1 at current estimated odds of 1.09.
πŸ‘‘

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