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Portuguese football FT Friday, 23 Oct 2026
V
Vitória Guimar
Home
L W W D L
9th place in Portuguese football
-
Full Time
Stadion · 🌤️ 18°C
1
Vitória Guimar Win Probability 59%
M
Marítimo
Away
D L W W L
10th place in Portuguese football
Our Prediction ☆☆ confidence
Recommended Tip
1 @ 1.65
59% probability · 3/5 confidence
Predicted Score
2 – 1
xG (Goals)
2.12 – 0.87
Win Probability
Vitória Guimar 59%
Draw 24%
Marítimo 17%
🗳️ Fan Prediction Poll

Who do you think will win?

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Vote cast:
Vitória Guimar
Draw
Marítimo
Our AI tips 1 — 59% probability
Match Preview & AI Analysis Statistical Insights

Vitória Guimar meet Marítimo in the Portuguese football on 2026-10-23 11:42 UTC.

Host side Vitória Guimar enter this contest having won 40% of their previous 5 matches, averaging 1.4 points per game with 6 goals scored and 6 conceded.
Marítimo arrive having secured 2 wins and 1 draw across their last 5 fixtures, conceding an average of 1.2 goals per game.

Head-to-head records show a finely balanced contest between these sides, with both teams claiming 2 wins each and 1 stalemates across their recent clashes.

Goal expectancy metrics project a competitive duel with a balanced Both Teams To Score probability (50%).

💡 Note: Vitória Guimarães are tipped to win at home. The selection assumes they can use home advantage to create more clear chances than Marítimo.
🎯 Prediction: Vitória Guimar to win 2-1 Model Confidence: 59%
AI Prediction Index Powered by BetPredictionTips
5.9
Prediction Index
1
59%
Home
X
24%
Draw
2
17%
Away
46% Recent form 46%
72% Attack 84%
28% Defence 28%
40% Head-to-head 40%
59% Win probability 17%
Predictions by Market
Match Result (1X2)
1
59% 1.65
Double Chance
No analysis for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
No analysis for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No analysis for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No analysis for this market.
Goals & Trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.99
Avg Goals
📊 Trend: Predicted total goals: 3 (xG Home: 2.12, xG Away: 0.87). Over 2.5 Goals is rated at 50%.
Recent Form — Last 5
L W W D L
2-1-2
W-D-L
6:6
Goals
1.4
PPG
D L W W L
2-1-2
W-D-L
7:6
Goals
1.4
PPG
⚡ Form Insight: Vitória Guimar demonstrate stronger current momentum with 1.4 PPG compared to Marítimo's 1.4 PPG.
Head to Head
23 May 2026 Vitória Guimar 2 – 0 Marítimo
23 Dec 2025 Marítimo 0 – 3 Vitória Guimar
23 Jul 2025 Vitória Guimar 0 – 0 Marítimo
23 Feb 2025 Marítimo 0 – 1 Vitória Guimar
23 Sep 2024 Vitória Guimar 2 – 0 Marítimo
🤝 H2H Summary: Head-to-head records show a finely balanced contest between these sides, with both teams claiming 2 wins each and 1 stalemates across their recent clashes.
League Standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
9 Vi Vitória Guimar 24 10 7 7 +12 37
10 Ma Marítimo 24 11 8 5 +12 41

Vitória Guimarães vs Marítimo Prediction & Detailed Match Preview

In-depth statistical breakdown, expected goals analysis, and mathematical tips for Portuguese football.

Vitória Guimar meet Marítimo in the Portuguese football on 2026-10-23 11:42 UTC. This matchup features two sides looking to make an impact in the standings, with key points at stake in this phase of the competition.

Team Form & Performance

Host side Vitória Guimar enter this contest having won 40% of their previous 5 matches, averaging 1.4 points per game with 6 goals scored and 6 conceded. Meanwhile, Marítimo arrive having secured 2 wins and 1 draw across their last 5 fixtures, conceding an average of 1.2 goals per game.

Head-to-Head Record (H2H)

Head-to-head records show a finely balanced contest between these sides, with both teams claiming 2 wins each and 1 stalemates across their recent clashes. Tactical setups in previous meetings demonstrate that neither manager takes unnecessary risks early in the match.

Goal Expectancy & Betting Trends

Goal expectancy metrics project a competitive duel with a balanced Both Teams To Score probability (50%). With an expected goal tally of 2.99 across 90 minutes (xG: 2.12 home, 0.87 away), value punters should note market trends surrounding Over 1.5 (78%) and Over 2.5 (50%).

🏆 Final Model Verdict: Prediction: Vitória Guimar to win 2-1 with a recommended bet on 1 at current estimated odds of 1.65.
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