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Serie A FT Wednesday, 07 Oct 2026
Vitoria
Vitoria
Home
L W D L W
5th place in Serie A
-
Full Time
Barradao · 🌀️ 18°C
2
Chapecoense-sc Win Probability 49%
Chapecoense-sc
Chapecoense-sc
Away
L W W L W
9th place in Serie A
Our Prediction β˜†β˜†β˜† confidence
Recommended Tip
2 @ 1.92
49% probability Β· 2/5 confidence
Predicted Score
1 – 1
xG (Goals)
1.28 – 1.58
🎯 Proj. 1 – 1
Win Probability
Vitoria 24%
Draw 27%
Chapecoense-sc 49%
πŸ—³οΈ Fan Prediction Poll

Who do you think will win?

Cast your prediction before kick-off

Vote cast:
Vitoria
Draw
Chapecoense-sc
Our AI tips 2 β€” 49% probability
Match Preview & AI Analysis Statistical Insights

Vitoria meet Chapecoense-sc in the Serie A at Barradao on 2026-10-07 23:00 UTC.

Host side Vitoria enter this contest having won 40% of their previous 5 matches, averaging 1.4 points per game with 7 goals scored and 6 conceded.
Chapecoense-sc arrive having secured 3 wins and 0 draws across their last 5 fixtures, conceding an average of 1 goals per game.

Looking at the Head to Head history over the last 5 meetings, Vitoria hold the advantage with 3 victories compared to 1 for Chapecoense-sc and 1 draws.

Goal expectancy metrics project a competitive duel with a balanced Both Teams To Score probability (50%).

πŸ’‘ Note: 2 @ 49% β€” model expects 0.92–1.44 (Vitoria 24% Β· draw 27% Β· Chapecoense-sc 49%; over 2.5 42%, BTTS 46%).
🎯 Prediction: Chapecoense-sc favoured (1-1) Model Confidence: 49%
AI Prediction Index Powered by BetPredictionTips
4.9
Prediction Index
1
24%
Home
X
27%
Draw
2
49%
Away
46% Recent form 60%
84% Attack 95%
28% Defence 40%
60% Head-to-head 20%
24% Win probability 49%
Predictions by Market
Match Result (1X2)
2
49% 1.92
Double Chance
X2
76% 1.24
Over / Under 2.5
No analysis for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No analysis for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No analysis for this market.
Goals & Trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.86
Avg Goals
πŸ“Š Trend: Predicted total goals: 2 (xG Home: 1.28, xG Away: 1.58). Over 2.5 Goals is rated at 50%.
Recent Form β€” Last 5
L W D L W
2-1-2
W-D-L
7:6
Goals
1.4
PPG
L W W L W
3-0-2
W-D-L
8:5
Goals
1.8
PPG
⚑ Form Insight: Chapecoense-sc hold the form edge heading into this tie with 1.8 PPG over their previous 5 games.
Head to Head
1
Draws
07 May 2026 Vitoria 1 – 0 Chapecoense-sc
07 Dec 2025 Chapecoense-sc 0 – 2 Vitoria
07 Jul 2025 Vitoria 3 – 0 Chapecoense-sc
07 Feb 2025 Chapecoense-sc 0 – 0 Vitoria
07 Sep 2024 Vitoria 1 – 0 Chapecoense-sc
🀝 H2H Summary: Looking at the Head to Head history over the last 5 meetings, Vitoria hold the advantage with 3 victories compared to 1 for Chapecoense-sc and 1 draws.
League Standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
5 Vitoria Vitoria 24 14 8 2 +14 50
9 Chapecoense-sc Chapecoense-sc 24 14 7 3 +4 49

Vitoria vs Chapecoense-sc Prediction & Detailed Match Preview

In-depth statistical breakdown, expected goals analysis, and mathematical tips for Serie A.

Vitoria meet Chapecoense-sc in the Serie A at Barradao on 2026-10-07 23:00 UTC. This matchup features two sides looking to make an impact in the standings, with key points at stake in this phase of the competition.

Team Form & Performance

Host side Vitoria enter this contest having won 40% of their previous 5 matches, averaging 1.4 points per game with 7 goals scored and 6 conceded. Meanwhile, Chapecoense-sc arrive having secured 3 wins and 0 draws across their last 5 fixtures, conceding an average of 1 goals per game.

Head-to-Head Record (H2H)

Looking at the Head to Head history over the last 5 meetings, Vitoria hold the advantage with 3 victories compared to 1 for Chapecoense-sc and 1 draws. Tactical setups in previous meetings demonstrate that neither manager takes unnecessary risks early in the match.

Goal Expectancy & Betting Trends

Goal expectancy metrics project a competitive duel with a balanced Both Teams To Score probability (50%). With an expected goal tally of 2.86 across 90 minutes (xG: 1.28 home, 1.58 away), value punters should note market trends surrounding Over 1.5 (78%) and Over 2.5 (50%).

πŸ† Final Model Verdict: Prediction: Chapecoense-sc favoured (1-1) with a recommended bet on 2 at current estimated odds of 1.92.
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